Gore Mountain Weather 08/09 Part 1 [Archive]

Harvey44

10-02-2008, 09:22 PM

I've been trying to decide when to start this thread. I figured - what the heck. It's the first mention of the "S" word by the NWS for North Creek, so I thought I'd throw it out there. Stoke on:

Sunday Night: A chance of rain showers before midnight, then a chance of rain and snow showers between midnight and 2am, then a chance of snow showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

MidnightCarving

10-04-2008, 02:15 AM

the s word may be optimistic, but i would say you've timed the thread appropriately, because if anyone is like me, they're starting to get anxious for the season, this is just one way to relieve the stress till we can truly relieve stress on the mountain. Anyway, im gonna put in an early prediction for a nov. 22nd opening.

Harvey44

10-21-2008, 09:26 PM

OK Matt you convinced me to post this.

From the National Weather Service, for Gore Mountain:

Overnight: Snow showers, mainly before midnight. Low around 31. North wind around 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of around an inch possible.

Wednesday: A chance of snow showers, mixing with rain after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 34. North wind between 8 and 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

And a map from Accuweather:

http://www.postimage.org/gx1wo5mA.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=gx1wo5mA)

megatron

10-22-2008, 08:55 AM

No white anywhere this morning, but a few flakes falling now.....

C

http://www.postimage.org/Pq1Mud6A.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=Pq1Mud6A)

Lbtchnlgs

10-22-2008, 09:56 AM

The site ssays its flurrying. S.Bush reports 6* at the top

Harvey44

10-23-2008, 07:43 PM

Seems like a longshot for Gore, maybe more of a Killington event.

Early season wet snow can snap trees and powerlines and create all kinds of havoc.

Text is from NWS for Albany Zone. Graphic From Accuweather:

...IT APPEARS THE SIGNIFICANT CYCLOGENESIS WILL DEVELOP ALONG...OR JUST OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD. THE BIG QUESTION IS EXACTLY WHERE THIS STORM MOVES. SOME MODELS INDICATE THIS STORM WOULD TRACK ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD AND ACTUALLY HAVE ENOUGH COLD AIR TO SUPPORT SNOW. THE LATEST DATA TENDS TO CONFINE THIS CYCLOGENESIS FURTHER TO OUR NORTHEAST...ACROSS THE GULF OF MAINE...WHICH WILL KEEP THE HEAVIEST QPF OUT OF OUR REGION. THAT IS NOT TO SAY WE WOULD ESCAPE ACCUMULATING SNOW. SOME ACCUMULATING SNOW IS A GOOD BET ACROSS OUR HIGHER TERRAIN...ESPECIALLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF ALBANY. EVEN VALLEY LOCATIONS COULD RECEIVE THEIR FIRST COATING OF SNOW COME MONDAY NIGHT BUT IT WAY TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE EXACTLY HOW MUCH...OR EXACTLY WHEN THIS SNOW MIGHT OCCUR. STAY TUNED.

http://www.postimage.org/aV1SdCz9.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=aV1SdCz9)

Harvey44

10-27-2008, 09:30 AM

While there is clearly more warm air in our future, this looks like fun Tues Night:

http://www.postimage.org/gx1QZA59.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=gx1QZA59)

Harvey44

10-27-2008, 12:38 PM

And this from the great optimist Henry M of Accuweather:

http://www.postimage.org/gx1RNpOA.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=gx1RNpOA)

megatron

10-27-2008, 02:24 PM

Check this out! :D :D

http://www.postimage.org/Pq27v12r.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=Pq27v12r)

C

http://www.postimage.org/aV26tQWr.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=aV26tQWr)

megatron

10-27-2008, 02:51 PM

This might be a whopper folks :D

Issued by The National Weather Service
Albany, NY
3:38 pm EDT, Mon., Oct. 27, 2008

... WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS... THE MOHAWK AND SCHOHARIE VALLEYS... AND THE EASTERN CATSKILLS.

A RAPIDLY DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST WILL TRACK NORTHWARD ON TUESDAY ACROSS THE CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEY. RAIN WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO ALL SNOW TUESDAY MORNING AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH THE DAY. SNOWFALL RATES COULD APPROACH 1 INCH PER HOUR ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE CATSKILLS AND ADIRONDACKS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TOTAL SNOWFALL BY WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL RANGE BETWEEN 8 AND 16 INCHES... WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM WILL INCREASE FROM THE WEST ON TUESDAY WITH SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS BETWEEN 50 AND 55 MPH. THESE WINDS... ALONG WITH THE SNOW... WILL RESULT IN POOR VISIBILITIES. IN ADDITION... THE COMBINATION OF HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.

C

http://www.postimage.org/Pq27CPqA.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=Pq27CPqA)

mattchuck2

10-27-2008, 03:53 PM

WOW . . .

Might be worth a little day trip on wednesday . . . just to play in some snow. . .

Lbtchnlgs

10-27-2008, 04:42 PM

I will be there on Wed :D :D :D

Lbtchnlgs

10-28-2008, 08:06 AM

I really wish they would install a webcam. Looks like most all other places are switching over to snow by now. No way to tell about Gore. Accuweather says only a few inches, might have to head elsewhere in the morning

midwestblues

10-28-2008, 11:54 AM

Is the mountain getting snow of is it all falling further west? Any locals please update. Thanks Eric

Lbtchnlgs

10-28-2008, 12:06 PM

Is the mountain getting snow of is it all falling further west? Any locals please update. Thanks Eric

Call the mountain and let us know. I am scared to- I did once last season and was insulted by the lady whom i asked the snowfall question to. Please?

Harvey44

10-28-2008, 12:19 PM

http://www.postimage.org/Pq2bc3Gi.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=Pq2bc3Gi)

Lbtchnlgs

10-28-2008, 12:32 PM

Damn, Harv you are so resourceful!

Thanks for posting that. I wish my internet connection was better so it wouldn't take me so long to search all the weather/mtn sites.

Windham is reporting 4-12 already. I think i may head down there in the morning rather than Gore. Only time will tell

10-28-2008, 08:33 PM

OVERNIGHT...SNOWFALL RATES WILL DIMINISH TO UNDER HALF AN INCH PER
HOUR. HOWEVER A NORTHWEST WIND WILL CONTINUE AT 20 TO 30
MPH...GUSTING OVER 50 ACROSS THIS AREA. THE COMBINATION OF THE
HEAVY WET SNOW...WIND AND RESIDUAL LEAVES ON TREES...WILL LIKELY
RESULT IN WIDESPREAD AND LONG LASTING POWER OUTAGES...ESPECIALLY
IN AREAS OVER 2000 FEET WHERE OVER FOOT TO 20 INCHES OF SNOW WILL
FALL. LESSER AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WILL FALL BETWEEN
ELEVATIONS OF 1000 AND 2000 FEET...BUT WILL NEVERTHELESS CAUSE
SOME POWER OUTAGES. LOWER ELEVATIONS RIGHT ALONG THE MOHAWK RIVER
MIGHT RECEIVE LESS THAN 6 INCHES OF SNOW...BUT STILL ENOUGH TO
PRODUCE SOME SPOTTY POWER OUTAGES.

Harvey44

10-28-2008, 09:19 PM

http://www.postimage.org/Pq2d05lJ.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=Pq2d05lJ)

While I've been excited about this major first snowfall of the season, in the back of my mind I've been thinking about the very real possibility of damage from heavy snow and high winds.

This call from NWS for North River doesn't make me feel any better:

Tonight: Snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 31. Breezy, with a west wind between 18 and 20 mph, with gusts as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible.

National Grid...the power company in the area has a page on their site...that reports outages by county and it seems to be kept reasonably current. As of this posting - around 10pm Tues 10/28...most of the outages seem to be in central NY. Nothing reported yet for Warren County.

https://www1.nationalgridus.com/niagaramohawk/storm/OutagesByCounty.aspx

The last thing I want to do is relive this episode, this past March:

http://harvey44.blogspot.com/2008/08/gore-mtn-ny-31408.html

WEDS AM EDIT: Any "Man in the Creek" Reports to share?

10-29-2008, 10:33 AM

I have a friend that went up to North Creek today, as well as hike around Gore - brought skis if its decent enough. Has camera and video cam with him.

megatron

10-29-2008, 02:09 PM

Lbtchnlgs

10-29-2008, 03:00 PM

http://a654.ac-images.myspacecdn.com/images01/18/l_4c4fddc9e1510d1cc0d97fc7e501b3d5.jpg

http://a164.ac-images.myspacecdn.com/images01/109/l_0a58306f44653ddfe3dc2297ffe49f0b.jpg

10-29-2008, 03:35 PM

where is that?!

10-29-2008, 03:42 PM

Windham?

10-29-2008, 03:44 PM

I have a friend that went up to North Creek today, as well as hike around Gore - brought skis if its decent enough. Has camera and video cam with him.

Ha Ha... not much snow here or on Gore.

C

http://www.postimage.org/Pq2g0xJi.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=Pq2g0xJi)

NWS said 4-8 in North Creek and upwards of 20 inches above 2000 feet. Did the town see anything close t0 4-8 inches?

jimmer

10-29-2008, 04:03 PM

http://a654.ac-images.myspacecdn.com/images01/18/l_4c4fddc9e1510d1cc0d97fc7e501b3d5.jpg

http://a164.ac-images.myspacecdn.com/images01/109/l_0a58306f44653ddfe3dc2297ffe49f0b.jpgthat is so cool,how was it ? looks pretty good

highpeaksdrifter

10-29-2008, 05:25 PM

Nice stoke, good for you.

Lbtchnlgs

10-29-2008, 06:06 PM

Yeah T it was Windham, I would have preferred going to Gore. but you gotta follow the snow.

Heres a TR on http://forums.alpinezone.com/40039-windham.html

Harvey44

10-29-2008, 08:34 PM

Good on ya Chris. Nice work.

IMHO: Maybe post your TR in it's own thread and leave this thread for weather stuff.

Your report IS probably the BIGGEST news on the forum this month and it certainly DESERVES it's own attention.

That is all.

:mrgreen: :)

megatron

10-30-2008, 08:04 AM

Harvey44

11-11-2008, 05:51 PM

OK back to the WEATHER thread.

I've been hearing comments about a "pattern change" but not able to find anybody who would go on record. Not NWS or weather.com.

Finally my buddy - the eternal snow optimist - Henry M at Accuweather comes out with this:

The long range is looking quite interesting. I will tell you, I am watching the storm from the 18th to the 21st. Both the GFS and EURO swing a storm across the northern tier of the country with plenty of cold air for what could be a significant snow event from the northern Rockies to the Northeast. While the details are unclear, I think one has to just look at the pattern of warm air building across the South and very cold air coming in from the north. The two could yield a significant storm.

In the meantime, lake-effect snow will get underway this weekend and folks downwind of the lakes could have the first major lake-effect snow outbreak. I am talking 1-2 feet of snow, especially northern Michigan and western New York.

(The only maps he had were of a potential snow/ice storm in the upper midwest.)

MidnightCarving

11-12-2008, 03:39 PM

im in school in oswego, out here we've had touches of lake effect snow last few days, nothing more than a few squalls, but its got me itching real bad for the season to start.

Harvey44

11-12-2008, 09:32 PM

At a minimum, let's hope for snowmaking temps leading up to opening day:

"The long-range forecast team at AccuWeather.com feels that the pattern that is establishing itself across the country this week and next will stay in place during Thanksgiving week."

http://www.postimage.org/aVJlYS9.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=aVJlYS9)

mattchuck2

11-12-2008, 09:59 PM

Saw that . . .

Also saw a little snow Monday-Wednesday of Thanksgiving week . . .

Don't want to jinx it, but it looks promising . . .

Harvey44

11-12-2008, 10:11 PM

Saw that . . .

Also saw a little snow Monday-Wednesday of Thanksgiving week . . .

Don't want to jinx it, but it looks promising . . .

Matt...if you saw that then you've seen Henry's insane looong range prediction (coastal low shhh), that I won't even mention here. I've decided that my posts on this thread will be for things ranging from forecast to fantasy. I'll post the pure hallucinations over on my blog.

Harvey44

11-14-2008, 08:18 PM

Looks like the pattern change is still on. There's talk of a few starved clippers. Maybe more?

http://www.postimage.org/Pq12RIIr.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=Pq12RIIr)

http://www.postimage.org/aVSliMA.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=aVSliMA)

megatron

11-15-2008, 10:21 AM

think cold first, then snow, young grasshoppers...

http://www.postimage.org/aVUjlw9.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=aVUjlw9)

C

http://www.postimage.org/Pq14MDoJ.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=Pq14MDoJ)

Harvey44

11-16-2008, 10:44 AM

From my pal Henry M at Accuweather:

We are going into a 45-day period of very cold weather in the East. I agree with Joe B., that this could be the coldest December in the East in 20 years. It means that winter may start off like gangbusters....

nyspnypd

11-16-2008, 10:54 AM

Here is the forcast for North creek NY for the next 15 days courtesy of accuweather.com

http://www.accuweather.com/us/ny/north-creek/12853/forecast-15day.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=1&zipChg=1&metric=0 :D

Harvey44

11-16-2008, 03:13 PM

NWS in Albany is having issues right now, so I went over into BTV country to check out Minerva.

I know in reality it doesn't mean much...but it sure looks cool. And should be good for some snowblowin.

http://www.postimage.org/gxxi909.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=gxxi909)

fujative.

11-16-2008, 05:52 PM

*snip*

Harvey44

11-16-2008, 05:58 PM

Dude - it's a GREAT TR that DESERVES IT'S OWN THREAD. :evil: :lol:

mattchuck2

11-16-2008, 11:27 PM

Dude, you know Scotty Visscher?

Dude's the man!!!!!!

Harvey44

11-17-2008, 12:08 AM

Sorry man I didn't know the dude was a legend or whatever.

OK back to it...this band of Lake Effect seems to be wandering in our direction. Now that it's going to be cold for a while, it's ALL GOOD:

http://www.postimage.org/Pq1cE_PJ.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=Pq1cE_PJ)

megatron

11-17-2008, 06:47 AM

2" at Megatron central this morning.

C

Harvey44

11-17-2008, 08:19 AM

Nice work Megaman. I've recorded your report in my unofficial snow total report.

I made a guess at your elevation.

megatron

11-17-2008, 09:22 AM

Nice work Harv! I will be interested to see what the season total will be.

http://www.postimage.org/Pq1ewh1S.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=Pq1ewh1S)

C

http://www.postimage.org/gxyNzZS.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=gxyNzZS)

PS Harv: I am at 1300'

Harvey44

11-17-2008, 09:10 PM

Megatron...1300 is primo as I *THINK* that is our new base elevation at Burnt Ridge?

Looks like a good week and weekend for snowmaking:

http://www.postimage.org/Pq1hPW9J.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=Pq1hPW9J)

Harvey44

11-18-2008, 06:14 PM

Continued GOOD snowmaking weather, maybe some flakes:

http://www.postimage.org/aV1a0Gl9.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=aV1a0Gl9)

Harvey44

11-19-2008, 07:56 AM

From NWS in Albany:

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

...HIGH (pressure) WILL SLIDE OFF TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST SUN NIGHT...AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THIS FRONT WILL ... BRING THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD SNOW ... POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SOME RAIN IN THE VALLEYS ON MON. THIS MAY BRING THE FIRST ACCUMULATING SNOW TO MANY LOWER ELEVATION LOCATIONS.

MON NIGHT INTO TUE...MODELS HAVE COME INTO SOMEWHAT BETTER AGREEMENT ...THE GFS MAINTAINS A NORTHERLY TRACK WITH THE LOW REMAINING NORTH OF THE CANADIAN BORDER. HOWEVER...THE ECMWF DIGS THE UPPER LOW ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND MID ATLANTIC REGION...SPAWNING A RATHER POTENT COASTAL LOW ON TUE WITH SIGNIFICANT WINTRY PRECIP FOR EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND...WITH A HIGH AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY FOR THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK.

Harvey44

11-19-2008, 06:08 PM

OK GUYS this is from the NWS for Gore.

That Monday night forecast, this far out...is the boys in Albany saying..."you know what...somethin might be a comin."

I'm going to watch it:

* * * *

Sunday: Partly sunny, with a high near 30.

Sunday Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 17. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Monday: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 34. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Monday Night: A chance of snow. Cloudy, with a low around 23. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Tuesday: A chance of snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 34. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 21.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 28.

fujative.

11-19-2008, 09:55 PM

Dude, you know Scotty Visscher?

Dude's the man!!!!!!
hahah yeah, basically everyone knows scotty. he lives a few mins away from me. i stayed up at his condo quite a bit last year but hes renting it this year. i ski with him every weekend in the winter/bike and wakeboard with him in the summer.

Harvey44

11-19-2008, 11:45 PM

http://www.postimage.org/aV1fzDJS.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=aV1fzDJS)

mattchuck2

11-20-2008, 05:12 PM

Harvey44

11-21-2008, 05:22 PM

OK YEA the WEATHER thread. Remember the weather?

The NWS is now at a 60% chance of snow for Monday/Tues...that's a high percentage that far out.

From the KALB porn stash:

THE EXTENDED PERIOD BEGINS WITH LOW PRESSURE MOVING INTO WESTERN NEW YORK FROM THE GREAT LAKES.

THE GFS INDICATES EXPLOSIVE DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW WHICH BECOMES A TRANSLATION TO A DEVELOPING COASTAL SYSTEM...WHICH THEN CUTS OFF AND MEANDERS AROUND SOUTHERN NEW YORK/NEW ENGLAND THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE GFS ALSO DRAWS IN MUCH WARMER AIR UP THROUGH 850 MB...LEAVING ONLY THE CATSKILLS TO THE
ADIRONDACKS IN GOOD SHAPE FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL AS IT APPEARS RIGHT NOW. THE ECMWF HANGS BACK FOR LONGER BEFORE THE ENERGY IS DRAWN INTO THE COASTAL SYSTEM MUCH LATER IN THE GAME...THU/FRI.

HAVE GONE SOMEWHERE IN BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF SOLUTIONS BECAUSE THE GREATER PERSISTENCE OF THE GFS LOW COMPARED TO THE 12Z THU RUN...AND THE MUCH FURTHER WEST CUTTING OFF OF THE ECMWF LOW SINCE ITS 12Z RUN...BOTH POINT TO LOW CONFIDENCE AND CONTINUED UNCERTAINTY
CONCERNING THE OUTCOME OF THIS EVENT GIVEN EITHER MODEL.

11-22-2008, 01:53 AM

Tuesday Wednesday looks real good.

This model seems to be the idea.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_slp_096m.gif

Harvey44

11-22-2008, 07:38 AM

Nice one T. That's looks like the coastal redevelopment the GFS was talking about 24 hrs ago.

This looks pretty good to me:

http://www.postimage.org/Pq1Ck7hA.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=Pq1Ck7hA)

Accuweather is playing it more like a clipper (http://harvey44.blogspot.com/2008/11/accuweather-snow-for-ski-country.html).

Harvey44

11-24-2008, 08:10 AM

I know this is not all stoke. I think I'm cranky because what's his name posted his TR in my weather thread.

From the NWS in Albany:

THIS WILL BE ANOTHER ELEVATION STORM WITH THE HIGHER TERRAIN WEST OF THE HUDSON VALLEY EXPERIENCING MOSTLY SNOW TONIGHT... THERE IS ALSO CONCERN FOR FREEZING RAIN ESPECIALLY IN THE LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION... HEAVIEST SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT EXPECTED IN THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS AS WELL AS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE EASTERN CATSKILLS WHERE 3 TO 8
INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE.

* * * *

THE BIG QUESTION FOR TUESDAY WILL BE THE EXACT TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW AND HOW QUICKLY IF AT ALL THE COLD LAYER IN PLACE ACROSS THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS IS ERODED.

ANOTHER CONCERN WILL BE STRONG EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS ON TUESDAY.

HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID 30S TO MID 40S AND IF THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS CAN MAINTAIN THE COLD AIR IN THE LOWER LEVELS LONG ENOUGH ON TUESDAY ANOTHER 3 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE.

IN ADDITION THE WINDS COUPLED WITH THE HEAVY WET SNOW HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. LATEST ECMWF INDICATES A BRIEF PUSH OF WARM AIR INTO THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS IN THE MORNING THEN WRAPS COLD AIR AROUND SOUTH SIDE OF LOW CHANGING ANY MIXED PCPN BACK TO SNOW DURING THE AFTERNOON.

Harvey44

11-24-2008, 05:23 PM

This is much more positive than everything else I've been reading. I'll take it if it verifies:

Megatron....will look for your accum updates at the end of the storm. :D

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TUESDAY NIGHT.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 16 INCHES IN THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS ARE PROJECTED
BY THE TIME THE PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF LATE TUESDAY NIGHT WITH
THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL TOTALS EXPECTED TO OCCUR AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE
2000 FEET.

A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE GREAT
LAKES REGION TONIGHT AND THEN DRIFT SLOWLY EAST ACROSS OUR REGION
ON TUESDAY. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE MAINLY SNOW STARTING THIS
EVENING AND CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. MUCH OF THE
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO FALL MAINLY AS SNOW.

IN ADDITION...EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS
UP TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...WHICH
COMBINED WITH THE HEAVY SNOW MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

nyspnypd

11-24-2008, 05:50 PM

Harvey44

11-24-2008, 06:22 PM

I gotta say I think the NWS forecast I just posted is way optimistic based on the forecast temps. We shall see. Let's hope I'm wrong.

fujative.

11-24-2008, 06:28 PM

I know this is not all stoke. I think I'm cranky because what's his name posted his TR in my weather thread.

Is it honeslty that big of a deal to you? My bad, but I think you're over reacting a bit...
I deleted it for ya though.

Spongeworthy

11-24-2008, 06:32 PM

nyspnypd

11-24-2008, 06:45 PM

I gotta say I think the NWS forecast I just posted is way optimistic based on the forecast temps. We shall see. Let's hope I'm wrong.Two of the Albany weathermen (6 and 13) have Gore just within the area that's supposed to get 6-12 inches :D

Yeah but I have found the local weather guys are not as accurate as the national ones NWS,Weather Channel, Accuweather,etc.. I guess it is a wait and see type of storm.

Spongeworthy

11-24-2008, 07:02 PM

[/quote]Yeah but I have found the local weather guys are not as accurate as the national ones NWS,Weather Channel, Accuweather,etc.. I guess it is a wait and see type of storm.[/quote]I agree. When the locals call for a big one, it never happens. I'm rooting for the NWS on this one.

megatron

11-25-2008, 06:53 AM

7.r" at megatron hq. No rain so far :D

C

Harvey44

11-25-2008, 08:15 AM

Megtron you are the man.

The big news is some major BULLET DODGING. NO MENTION OF NCP for North Creek after 10am this morning THRU SATURDAY:

Today: Rain and snow showers, becoming all snow after 10am. High near 38. Breezy, with a east wind between 15 and 25 mph, with gusts as high as 38 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.

megatron

11-25-2008, 08:28 AM

The snow had slowed down an hour ago, but it is picking up again :D The consistency is light mash taters. Very good base snow.

http://www.postimage.org/aV1Es3Or.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=aV1Es3Or)

C

http://www.postimage.org/Pq1SM3sr.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=Pq1SM3sr)

Harvey44

11-25-2008, 11:32 AM

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
912 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS.

AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE REST
OF TODAY. THIS WILL BRING TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO 6 TO 12
INCHES BY THE TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF THIS EVENING...WITH THE
HIGHEST SNOWFALL TOTALS OCCURRING AT ELEVATIONS ABOVE 2000 FEET.

A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE REGION TODAY
AND EARLY TONIGHT. THE PRIMARY LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH
FROM THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN DRIFT
SLOWLY NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO BY THIS EVENING.

megatron

12-01-2008, 02:10 PM

2" of wet glop this morning. Overall though, we survived the "ncp" ok.

C

http://www.postimage.org/gx13NqRr.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=gx13NqRr)

Harvey44

12-02-2008, 04:19 PM

The trajectory on the lake effect is just about perfect this afternoon, with radar showing it coming up a bit short. At times in the past when the radar was showing bands coming up short...locals have indicated that snow was falling up top. Any reports welcome.

http://www.postimage.org/aV2bTME9.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=aV2bTME9)

Harvey44

12-04-2008, 07:53 AM

Contrary to what NWS is calling for... the radar shows a switch from NCP to something frozen:

http://www.postimage.org/Pq2y_A_r.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=Pq2y_A_r)

megatron

12-04-2008, 08:46 AM

Light freezing rain this morning quickly changed to sleet and now snow.

C

http://www.postimage.org/aV2jcIEi.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=aV2jcIEi)

SnowSnake

12-04-2008, 08:55 AM

Thanks for the update, it's nice to hear what's going on up there especially when it involves SNOW!!

megatron

12-04-2008, 01:18 PM

Just got back from makin' some turns
http://www.postimage.org/Pq2AApcA.gif (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=Pq2AApcA)

Snow was heroish
:D

C

http://www.postimage.org/aV2kdz_J.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=aV2kdz_J)

Danzilla

12-04-2008, 02:50 PM

You lucky dog. Wish I could sneak out on my lunch break and get in a few runs. Thanks for the update - the radar on accuweather didn't look to promising.

What's it look like for trails open this weekend? I'm going to be up for Sat & Sun.

Dzilla

Harvey44

12-04-2008, 10:07 PM

fujative.

12-05-2008, 05:08 PM

Now THAT'S what I call LAKE EFFECT:

http://www.postimage.org/gx1b49aA.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=gx1b49aA)

Here's the close up:

http://www.postimage.org/gx1b4o8r.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=gx1b4o8r)

:D i was afraid it wasnt going to be so hot this weekend. between mega's post and that, im a bunchhh more optomistic.
any idea how much new snow they got/are expecting?

Harvey44

12-05-2008, 07:54 PM

I don't have any real "facts" but I'm up here at 2000' and on our porch since last Sunday was about 2 inches that is pretty crunchy. Still I think it would groom up nicely.

Sunday am should be sweet if the clipper comes through.

12-06-2008, 05:00 PM

I'll finally be making a appearance Friday - possibly Thursday. Looks like they'll be getting a few inches nightly as the week progresses.

mattchuck2

12-08-2008, 09:28 AM

Hate to say it, but it looks like we might get some NCP on Tuesday night into Wednesday . . .

Harvey44

12-08-2008, 10:49 AM

Big time.

12-08-2008, 11:34 AM

Damn that. Talk about a forecast change.

Cliff

12-08-2008, 12:39 PM

Hate to say it, but it looks like we might get some NCP on Tuesday night into Wednesday . . .

I gotta ask....what does NCP stand for?

Harvey44

12-08-2008, 12:41 PM

Non Crystalized Precipitation.

The only other acceptable phrase is NAIR.

Cliff

12-08-2008, 01:42 PM

Non Crystalized Precipitation.

The only other acceptable phrase is NAIR.

OK, got it.....NAIR?????

Lbtchnlgs

12-08-2008, 03:21 PM

Non Crystalized Precipitation.

The only other acceptable phrase is NAIR.

OK, got it.....NAIR?????

yeah, the stuff that removes hair- if you have any left.

read NAIR in a mirror. People suppose that saying the mmword. is bad luck. i have always thought that saying 'it' would jinx it so then snow would fall. But i wont, because i respect opposing beleifs, and who knows, they are probably right. or something

Harvey44

12-09-2008, 07:08 PM

http://www.postimage.org/aV4EhBS.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=aV4EhBS)

megatron

12-10-2008, 07:12 AM

47 and light NCP :evil: :evil:

C

http://www.postimage.org/gx1mUoYA.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=gx1mUoYA)

Harvey44

12-10-2008, 07:38 AM

Maybe Friday will bring it back.

SnowSnake

12-10-2008, 12:38 PM

What's it doing up there today? The forecast on WTEN.com looks promising with 8-12 once it changes over.

megatron

12-10-2008, 01:03 PM

All quiet precip wise, temps are droppin'.
Think Snow!

C
http://www.postimage.org/Pq6OBo9.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=Pq6OBo9)

Harvey44

12-10-2008, 01:58 PM

Welcome my son....to the machine....

http://www.postimage.org/Pq73r7i.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=Pq73r7i)

Lbtchnlgs

12-10-2008, 10:15 PM

something like this rolling into town and nobody has posted in like 5 hours?

How much natural is on the ground up there?

Harvey44

12-10-2008, 10:18 PM

That is obviously the question.

If I could answer it I would.

I may go for it anyway. From where you are it's a no brainer. Ski Friday.

Lbtchnlgs

12-10-2008, 10:41 PM

Here's the problem. I work Thursday/Friday nights. 3:30p-4am

But we are getting the storm, calling for some pretty big-deal icing, im thinking i'll get out early, unless the townies come into the bar all night. Maybe i'll sleep at my moms place instead of driving home 40min. nab a few hours of sleep and hit Hickory, then come back for work on Friday.

It's just been a real crazy week. Piles of procrastinated homework/projects/tests. Gotta stay social on top of that (21st b-day yesterday). Have to sell my truck by Monday. Study for 2 finals on Tuesday morning, then hit the road into the sunset 8) And work of course. And I still have to move all my crap into moms basement.

But... hey, i guess it all comes down to priorities

Danzilla

12-11-2008, 02:53 PM

On the damage or lack of damage from the R word yesterday? Is it snowing yet? I've been checking weather.com every 30 minutes. Looks like NC is just on the edge of the snow bands. Not going to make it up for tomorrow. Save some snow for me this weekend though.

fujative.

12-11-2008, 06:42 PM

megatron, whats it doing up there now?
its freezing raining/shitting here in toga.

Spongeworthy

12-11-2008, 06:50 PM

I just got off the phone with my friend on Hardscrabble Road. It's snowing heavily :D

Harvey44

12-11-2008, 09:28 PM

Up here it's snowing pretty good....a promet would probably call it "moderate" snowfall.

Swept the porch twice in the last hour.

Maybe 2 inches down.

I'll try to snap a pic.

Harvey44

12-11-2008, 10:50 PM

This was at about an 9:45. It's nice stuff.

http://www.postimage.org/Pqdkzy0.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=Pqdkzy0)

Danzilla

12-12-2008, 09:55 AM

Thanks for the update Harv. Have fun out there today! Hope they open lots today.

Harvey44

12-15-2008, 09:32 AM

Today and Tonight not so good.

But the optimists at Accuweather see a good week shaping up:

http://www.postimage.org/aVuoZLS.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=aVuoZLS)

12-15-2008, 06:36 PM

Tomorrow going to be junk?

Harvey44

12-16-2008, 10:21 PM

http://www.postimage.org/aVCHmYJ.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=aVCHmYJ)

12-17-2008, 07:24 AM

Heading up now.

Snowballs

12-17-2008, 09:56 AM

^^^^^^^lucky you. i've got Honey-do's today.

Harvey44

12-17-2008, 10:43 PM

http://www.postimage.org/PqEBC30.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=PqEBC30)

http://www.postimage.org/PqEBzyS.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=PqEBzyS)

http://www.postimage.org/PqEBx3J.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=PqEBx3J)

tjf67

12-18-2008, 06:33 AM

Gore is piling up the snow down there. I go down to NC on Wed. and you have about 10 more inches on the ground than we do up here. Gonna ask for a guided tour one of these days if some one would ablige

Danzilla

12-18-2008, 09:07 AM

I would love to head up, but I think my wife would divorce me if I left her with my parents for the weekend. I probably won't make it again until January. Enjoy the snow everyone and have a great holiday.

I had a great weekend last weekend. Tahawus is my new favorite trail. They left it ungroomed and the powder was awesome for boarding. It was like floating on air. Must have done that run 10 or 15 times between Saturday and Sunday.

MidnightCarving

12-19-2008, 03:06 PM

just got back from the mountain, fine light fluff falling steady there and here in schroon, probably about an inch or two on the ground but its still early. 11 degrees so no worry for NCP :D

Harvey44

12-19-2008, 03:21 PM

It is freakin DUMPING here. (North River 2000').

Hard for me to tell how much is from this storm and last but at least 3 inches of new. I'll post some snowdepth pics here and others on my blog.

Going out for an xcski. More details later.

Harvey44

12-19-2008, 08:33 PM

Still Snowin. I'm guessin at least 8-10 so far.

http://www.postimage.org/aVQ3HS0.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=aVQ3HS0)

http://www.postimage.org/PqMVq30.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=PqMVq30)

MidnightCarving

12-20-2008, 12:33 AM

i'm with you harv, don't have a camera, but at midnight i recorded an official measurement in the driveway of 9.75 inches and still falling lightly.

Harvey44

12-20-2008, 04:56 AM

I estimated 11 inches at midnight and 3 more inches (of pure fluff) since then.

I'm going with 14. Still barely snowing.

megatron

12-20-2008, 07:05 AM

16" of BLOWER POWDER at Megatron HQ

http://www.postimage.org/gx1IZJfJ.gif (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=gx1IZJfJ)

C

http://www.postimage.org/PqO4gCS.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=PqO4gCS)

twinplanx

12-24-2008, 09:16 AM

Looking at the latest radar it seems things could get a lil' dicey for the holiday/weekend.

Any locals care to fill us in with on on the spot report?

Snowballs

12-24-2008, 11:26 AM

2" of fluff fell last night here in lake George area. right now it's 22* and no precip. heavy overcast with lots of gifts and treats in the forecast. ho ho ho

twinplanx

12-24-2008, 11:39 AM

Seems to be clearing out now. Hopefully temps stay cool for the next weather event as well

MidnightCarving

12-24-2008, 01:11 PM

here in schroon we're at 26 degrees with flurries... a light layer on the ground.... lets hope these temps hold.

fujative.

12-24-2008, 01:25 PM

here in schroon we're at 26 degrees with flurries... a light layer on the ground.... lets hope these temps hold.
NCP in saratoga :( but were only at 375ish feet.

Harvey44

12-24-2008, 01:48 PM

This is an excerpt from the best (most optimistic) thing I've found. From Henry M:

Can Santa Bring Me a Big Daddy

NAO TANKS... CAN THAT MEAN SOMETHING IS BREWING...

...This morning I looked at the long range, and it it seems some blocking might start to show up by next weekend. The GFS NAO chart... shows the NAO tanking by this weekend. I have been watching the storm around the third which has my interest for what could be our first chance at a Big Daddy storm.

The GFS has been taking the storm back and forth between the eastern Great Lakes and the coast. The recent runs of the GFS have suggested the storm ends up along the coast. The EURO shows one center going up into the eastern lakes and a secondary developing off the coast of Virginia. I am sure that the next run of the EURO will show an even stronger storm along the coast...

MidnightCarving

12-25-2008, 02:13 AM

so much for the temps holding... NCP since the afternoon and we're at about 38 right now...

Harvey44

12-25-2008, 03:24 PM

Looks like we've got 5 days of tough luck. Not to say there won't be opportunities for some good turns when the temp is up and the sun is out. From here in downtown NJ....not too likely I can take advantage...but you guys can...

From the Mad River Glen Guys weather blog:

("UGLY, UGLY, UGLY...yaddi yaddi yadda...")

Then....

Improvements will be gradual going into New Years and then beyond but at least one of our important teleconnection indicators will make a shift. The North Atlantic Oscillation index which is one of the three indices to be on the more unfavorable side of zero will move into the more favorable category around New Years Day.

From here the pattern will find it difficult to simply continue in its trough west/ridge east mentality and we should see our threat of big surges of warmth and nair diminish. The need for some additional new natural snow will be vital at this time and it seems as if the potential is there for a storm between the 3rd and 6th of the month. Get the pattern right and the rest takes care of itself. It appears we take some steps to do this but not until after new year.

Harvey44

12-26-2008, 01:57 PM

Found this buried in the ALB NWS long term. It's all I got right now:

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...

THE HIGH DOMINATES OUR WEATHER FOR NEW YEARS DAY...WITH A THIN SHROUD OF HIGH CLOUDS...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS DOWNWIND FROM LAKE ONTARIO...AND HIGHS IN THE LOW 30S. THE CLOUDS ARE AHEAD OF A FRONTAL SYSTEM THAT WILL APPROACH THE REGION THE END OF THE WEEK AND BRING SNOW TO THE REGION THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND.

Harvey44

12-27-2008, 02:49 PM

From the GFS for the end of the upcoming week. I grant you it's a pig in a poke but hey:

http://www.postimage.org/aV1llibA.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=aV1llibA)

MidnightCarving

12-27-2008, 06:41 PM

haha i like the optimism harv, but im sad to report heavy ncp throughout the afternoon... my road is waxed and polished right now, almost couldnt make it out

Harvey44

12-28-2008, 05:32 PM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
435 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

A CLIPPER LIKE SYSTEM WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC MONDAY NIGHT. MOISTURE IS LIMITED WITH THIS SYSTEM...

ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST INTO THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AND DEPART THE REGION WEDNESDAY. THIS ONE WILL BE A MORE SIGNIFICANT SYSTEM. AT THIS POINT...THE MAIN FORECAST DILEMNA IS THE STORM TRACK....COULD SEE 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS THE REGION WITH THIS EVENT

THE NEXT FORECAST ISSUE WILL BE A STORM FOR BEGINNING SOMETIME FRIDAY MORNING AND INTO THE FIRST PORTION OF THE WEEKEND. THE LATEST GFS SHOW THIS SYSTEM BOTH NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY PHASING ACROSS PA...

AT THIS POINT...AM PLAYING THE STORM AS HIGH CHC POPS FOR MUCH OF THE REGION...WITH LIKELY POPS IN THE FAR SOUTHEASTERN AREAS...AND WILL KEEP P-TYPES AS SNOW FOR THE NORTH...AND A MIX FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN AREAS.

Harvey44

12-28-2008, 07:42 PM

http://www.postimage.org/aV1r3Zy0.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=aV1r3Zy0)

Harvey44

12-29-2008, 05:05 PM

From the Mad River Weather guy:

Pattern aligning itself in a very "right" way

One has to be seriously encouraged with the outlook for the first half of January. The NAO shift is the first triggering mechanism but this will be combined later in the month with what now appears to be a complete elimination of the trough across the west.

Now it appears as if the NAO shift will be combined with the building of a ridge across the west and this severely weakens the threat for rain for at least the first 15 days of January. If we shut down the Pacific entirely, including the all important moisture supply of the jet stream's southern branch than it could be more of a dry cold but this is jumping a bit ahead of ourselves.

The first 10 days of January will feature at least 2 significant storms and I am encouraged that we will recover a healthy percentage of what was recently lost.

Harvey44

01-03-2009, 06:32 AM

Looks like 5 inches overnight here although hard to tell with the wind.

There may well be wind issues today...it is rippin.

Harvey44

01-05-2009, 11:48 AM

http://www.postimage.org/aV1Z4Wd9.jpg (http://www.postimage.org/image.php?v=aV1Z4Wd9)

mattchuck2

01-05-2009, 12:04 PM

NICE

Harvey44

01-05-2009, 05:03 PM

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
316 PM EST MON JAN 5 2009

NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR THE ADIRONDACKS...MOHAWK VALLEY AND PORTIONS OF THE LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION.

ANOTHER COMPLEX STORM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN UNITED STATES AND TRACK NORTHEAST TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK...SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY EVENING WITH SNOWFALL INTENSITY INCREASING RATHER QUICKLY TOWARD SUNRISE WEDNESDAY. SNOW COULD FALL HEAVY AT TIMES DURING WEDNESDAY ...ALONG WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF SLEET. FORECAST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 7 INCHES OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE BY THURSDAY MORNING.

Snowballs

01-05-2009, 05:57 PM

Harv- how handy are you! thanks for the info.

We are fortunate to have our very own Skiing Weatherman - Harvey44 !!!

esp. on those questionable days and Harvey44 is near slopeside. he even posts live reports early in the am.

Thanks Harvey44, for all you do.

:idea:

For a forecast that's sure....

turn to Harvey44.

Harvey44

01-06-2009, 07:31 AM

He's GOT to be pullin my leg.

This looks to be for real...good stuff. Weather is beautiful, wish I was there:

Today: Partly sunny, with a high near 23. Wind chill values as low as zero. West wind between 6 and 9 mph.

Tonight: Snow, mainly after midnight. Low around 15. Calm wind becoming east between 6 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

Wednesday: Snow before noon, then snow, possibly mixed with sleet. High near 25. Southeast wind between 10 and 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.

Wednesday Night: Snow, mainly before midnight. Low around 16. South wind 8 to 11 mph becoming west. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Snowballs

01-06-2009, 04:15 PM

He's GOT to be pullin my leg.

no harv. not pulling your leg or twisting your isobars.

it's just that SKIING + WEATHER REPORTS = SKIING WEATHERMAN.

if that's offended you...let me know.

or just chuck a couple 'o snowballs at me!

Harvey44

01-06-2009, 04:55 PM

Hey Snow it's all good:

From NWS:

ACROSS OUR ADIRONDACKS...SLEET COULD MIX IN WITH SNOW...BUT WE THINK SNOW WILL BE THE PREDOMINATE PTYPE...WITH AMOUNTS 7 TO 10 INCHES WITH A GOOD SHOT THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...LIGHTENING UP (AND THIS IS WHEN IT MIGHT MIX WITH SLEET) MIDDAY WEDNESDAY...BEFORE
ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVIER SNOW MOVES IN BY EVENING. ON TOP OF THAT...WILL LIKELY BE SOME LAKE EFFECT PRODUCED SNOW.

Lbtchnlgs

01-06-2009, 07:44 PM

screw colorado, im coming back east

Snowballs

01-06-2009, 09:59 PM

screw colorado, im coming back east

yea. where the hell you been ?

i barely met you long enough to get to not like you. now, if you been in colorado, rippin the Rockies, then well ......you've solved that problem , Breck Boy.

oh yea. almost forgot.......

POST SOME DAMN PICS !!!

Harvey44

01-06-2009, 10:08 PM

Yea you are banned until you post some snorkel pics.

From what I have heard the "west" is having an interesting season...Chris could say better than I but... I think CO is having a drought and Utah and other areas are having major snowpack issues. Lots of avy deaths this year.

Back to our regularly schedule programming...the promets are all over the place on this one. NWS is sticking to a mostly snow scenario...but others are calling for a sleet monster. Just thought I should give a heads up on this.

Danzilla

01-06-2009, 10:47 PM

NWS and Accuweather are still showing snow all night and all day wednesday into wednesday night.

I am ignoring the other weather website as I don't like their forcast.

Going to bed dreaming of how much better the mountain will be with 1 foot of freshies:)

Snowballs

01-07-2009, 07:16 AM

FWIW - 2 inches of new snow here, now changing over to mix/sleet/freezing rain? exit 18

Harvey44

01-07-2009, 07:21 AM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
633 AM EST WED JAN 7 2009

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
-- Changed Discussion --

WILL MAINTAIN CURRENT WINTER STORM WARNINGS...HOWEVER THERE WILL BE SOME CHANGES DUE TO CURRENT TRENDS. WILL MENTION MORE FREEZING RAIN AND ICE ACCRETION...WITH LOWER SNOW TOTALS.

THE ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS WHERE PREDOMINANTLY SNOW WILL FALL WITH SOME SLEET MIXED IN.

THERE WILL LIKELY BE A SOMEWHAT SHARP GRADIENT TO WHERE HEAVY SNOW FALL VERSUS ICING...WITH A STRIPE OF 3 TO 6 INCHES TOTAL SNOW/SLEET NORTH OF THE CAPITAL REGION...WITH 5 TO 10 IN THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS.