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Harvey44


Joined: 06 Apr 2006
Posts: 474
Location: North River
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Get out there now! It should be a great few days!
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JC7727


Joined: 16 Mar 2006
Posts: 106
Location: Cornell - Ithaca, NY
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this week looks great potential for well over a foot of snow by wed! Don't ask about next week.
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Harvey44


Joined: 06 Apr 2006
Posts: 474
Location: North River
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It's a week away, but it's some hope. Long Range from the NWS:

BEHIND THIS SYSTEM WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW WILL SET UP AND SOME LAKE
EFFECT CLOUDS AND SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY
WITH BEST CHANCE FOR ACCUMULATING SNOWS ACROSS THE WESTERN
ADIRONDACKS ESPECIALLY NORTH OF ROUTE 28. MAJOR DISCREPANCIES IN
LONG RANGE GUIDANCE IN TERMS OF WHETHER OR NOT COASTAL STORM WILL
IMPACT FA OR JUST A CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEM EARLY NEXT WEEK.
GFS HAS LOW
EXITING FAR EAST OF CAROLINA COAST WITH A CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEM
IMPACTING FA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...ECMWF HAS LOW MUCH CLOSER
PASSING SOUTHEAST OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST MONDAY MORNING...BUT
NOT SHOWING INTENSE DEEPENING UNTIL IT REACHES CANADIAN MARITIMES
LATE MONDAY. 12Z MREFS CONSENSUS WOULD FAVOR A SOLUTION SIMILAR TO
ECMWF BUT LOW EVEN WEAKER...PROBABILITY OF 0.10 INCH QPF 30-50
PERCENT ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST PORTION OF FA WITH NW PTN OF FA DRY. AT
THIS POINT IN TIME WILL CONTINUE WITH SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS
FOR PERIOD FROM LATE SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. PTYPE LOOKS TO BE
CLEARLY SNOW AS TEMPERATURES ALOFT AS WELL AS AT THE SURFACE
EXPECTED TO BE BELOW FREEZING FOR MUCH IF NOT ALL OF THIS PERIOD.
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Harvey44


Joined: 06 Apr 2006
Posts: 474
Location: North River
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Looks like Accuweather is on it now too:

Residents of the East Coast are being put on alert for a potential storm when the weekend comes to a close. While the event is still several days away and all the details have yet to be determined, there is the possibility that a storm will emerge from the Gulf of Mexico, then ride northward along the coastline. The storm could provide welcome rain to the South, but may disrupt weekend travel over the Northeast with snow. Continue to check with AccuWeather.com for the latest.

Story by AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Kristina Baker
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Harvey44


Joined: 06 Apr 2006
Posts: 474
Location: North River
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Here's a little goodie from Accuweather that has me dreaming. It wouldn't take much variation in storm track to go boom or bust on this one:


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jimmer


Joined: 03 Dec 2006
Posts: 318
Location: so .glensfalls
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Harvey44 wrote:
Here's a little goodie from Accuweather that has me dreaming. It wouldn't take much variation in storm track to go boom or bust on this one:



way to keep up with the positive vibs harv, we need it.
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Harvey44


Joined: 06 Apr 2006
Posts: 474
Location: North River
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Thanks Jimmer. And yet a little bit more stoke for ya. This guy knows his stuff:

http://forums.alpinezone.com/22560-winter-part-ii-coming-mtn-near-you.html
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Harvey44


Joined: 06 Apr 2006
Posts: 474
Location: North River
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This is from Henry M, an accuweather guy. Now this guy really roots for big dumps in the northeast, so maybe he's biased. But I like what he's sayin:

The next storm, which will cover a larger area, is coming up Thursday and Friday. This time, the heaviest snows will be in the Appalachians while the coastal Plain has mainly rain. The potential with this storm is to produce heavy snows up to a foot in places, mostly likely, across central New York, Vermont, New Hampshire and Maine once again. Keep in mind, this is a storm that can tap into very cold air, so places that start with snow may end getting colder and have snow ratios initially at 10:1, ending at 20:1.

We are going into a colder weather pattern across much of the nation. Storm dates in the East will be the 17th, 20th for New England, 22nd big storm potential, and 27th.
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mattchuck2


Joined: 23 Dec 2005
Posts: 274
Location: Clifton Park, NY
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Haha, I saw that exact thing . . .

The storm on the 21st to 22nd looks like it might be big.
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Harvey44


Joined: 06 Apr 2006
Posts: 474
Location: North River
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Looks like the radar is being good to us tonight too.

Here's some long range weatherporn from Henry for Thurs:

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Harvey44


Joined: 06 Apr 2006
Posts: 474
Location: North River
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No links or maps to post because everyone is all over the map on this one. While we are technically in the Albany service area for NWS, I'm going with Burlington's call for Minerva. I'm thinking very little or no mixed precip and 5-6 inches at Gore. We'll see. At this point, anything frozen is good. The deeper it is - the sooner we get back in the woods.

Plus really cold temps coming and snowmakers back at the summit.

Should be good.

Harv
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Harvey44


Joined: 06 Apr 2006
Posts: 474
Location: North River
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Boy - you don't see this very often... a plume of Lake Effect - coming of Ontario headed due EAST and just about making it to Gore. Actually I'm fairly sure it is making it, even if the radar doesn't quite show it.

Reports from the field say snow is falling....

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jimmer


Joined: 03 Dec 2006
Posts: 318
Location: so .glensfalls
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what up harv,2 ta 3 last night,snowed all day,didnt amount to much,but every bit helps,its gettin better and better every day.woods? soon-i hope. you comming up this weekend?
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Harvey44


Joined: 06 Apr 2006
Posts: 474
Location: North River
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Jman...sure am thinking about it. If so would be with the family, but I could make some turns with ya in the pm, when CB gets tired.

Looked like they opened some trees today... that is tempting. If so it would be Sat am and Sunday. They are starting to wonder about me at work.

You ski weekends, brotha?
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Harvey44


Joined: 06 Apr 2006
Posts: 474
Location: North River
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Gore faithful...we've got some hard times coming this week. But optimism still rules. This accuweather guy - Henry M - sees real potential for February, so I thought I'd share:

A STORMY WEATHER PATTERN DEVELOPING...

I think the important aspect of today's discussion is the change in the overall pattern. The last two months have brought a pattern of storms either cutting into the Great Lakes or redeveloping along the Northeast coast. I think as we go into February, the pattern begins to change and the trough becomes established in the East. The NAO gradually goes negative, and there are signs the La Nina is weakening. The thing about the pattern, it will probably be one that allows storms to migrate through the flow instead of locking off or forming closed lows. That type of pattern may develop as we go into March. Storms will become more established along the East coast, and that means potential exists for snowstorms. I am excited about the overall pattern, and as I have said all weekend, the pattern initially could produce Big Daddy of storm, like the one I am watching for Feb. 3-5 on the GFS.
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Gore Mountain Weather 07/08
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