What say the local weather experts on Wed night thru Friday?

[SKIdds]

Looks like we're headed up this weekend, most likely regardless of the weather.......but it would be nice to hit some fresh snow and decent tree skiing.

So what are the local weather men/women saying about later this week? Looks like the NWS and Accuweather are coming into agreement on Thursday being the warmer day, with all/mostly snow, especially as elevation increases. NWS currently forecasts all snow for Placid (elev 1,900 ft) and the chance for some rain mixing in Thursday in Wilmington (elev 1,100 ft). Accu has some rain mixing in in both areas Thursday. So far all talk of sleet and freezing rain seems to be gone (whew). Both NWS and Accu say all snow all areas Thursday night into Friday, Friday temps in the lower 30's, with Accuweather calling for 8 inches. That would be sweet.

Of course, the Weather Channel has Friday as the warmer day, with snow and rain showers. Go figure. Hopefully they come into line with the others.

So what's it gonna be, and when is the cold front coming thru? If it comes thru before Thursday night the weekend will be most excellent. If it comes thru later and there is some rain Friday it will just be good. I'd prefer to ski some of the fluff and powder I'm seeing in all these trip reports the past few days, so I'm hoping the NCP stays away from the mountain.

All that said, I'll be dropping the kiddies at the Kampus Saturday by 8:30, at which time I'll be all on my lonesome. If anyone is looking for some company, I'm game. Always more fun to ski with someone else......

[JC7727]

snow to all rain for a bit, could be half inch or so of rain (maybe some zr in the lower elevations). 1-3 inches of snow behind the cold front. Dosen't look good as of now.

[SKIdds]

Pssst.......I meant the forecast for Placid/Whiteface, not Ithaca .

Really, is that a local Lake Placid forecast? If so, thanks for the heads up. A forecast like that and I'll wait another day before making our reservations. Of course, I haven't found any of the big weather forecasting sites supporting that outlook for the 'Dacks, but it is only Tuesday.........

[highpeaksdrifter]

I have not seen anything as pessimistic as what JC posted. Sure hope he’s wrong, but I’m sure he does too. Accuweather is forcasting 4-8 inches Thursday night. We'll see. Keep hope alive.

[Snowballs]

lol.

it's fun to talk about the weather but it's like the weatherman really can't tell what's gonna happen. it really sucks when they run teaser spots (just to get you to watch) of "BIG STORM!" only to downgrade at the last minute. none the less we all tune in for hope. to bad we don't get all that snow that falls lake side or on the Tug Hill Plataeu. then we'ld have it made. could somebody please click and drag Lake Ontario closer to the adks?

go to weather.com and type in Placid's zip code for the latest speculation. or just wait for harv to chime in.

[takeahike46er]

I am seeing something similar to what JC is seeing, at least if the models pan out. A few inches of snow late Wednesday night-early Thursday evening, tapering off to snow showers overnight. Accumulations at the base will be minimal due to warm air creeping into the Champlain Valley. Some lake enhanced snow showers in the morning could add a couple more inches from the mid-station up.

Rain moves in Thursday around midnight. 1/4'' to 1/2 '' of liquid is possible before the precipitation ends and cold air arrives around 9 pm Friday.

[mattchuck2]

(post deleted)

[SKIdds]

Props to JC on your meteorological prowess. I shall now humbly defer to you for all my weather forecasting needs. Unless the forecast changes, Friday is looking to be 40 and rain, upwards of that half inch, with some back end snow showers. If only it would stay warm, the weekend might be really nice spring conditions. Alas, temps down around 10 Friday night should leave the hill just a wee bit firm over the weekend as it stays below freezing both Sat and Sun. Wonder if there is any chance of more snow included in the mix at elevation, perhaps giving the top half of the mountain better conditions? Wishfull thinking.........

It may be time to re-think and save the money we'd spend to go this weekend for another spring weekend that might bring more enjoyable conditions. Unfortunately, we don't have that many weekends in March open. We'll see. The kids would most likely be fine with ski school and sticking to the groomers....just not the kind of conditions I was hoping to enjoy.

Mattchuck2......if it is a go for us this weekend I'll let you guys know and it would be great to ski with you. I have no problem with your preferred terrain and mode of skiing. I've had my days where Empire is my warmup run (when the conditions are right you have to get at it before anyone else ). I suspect if things get warm, wet and refrozen there will be very hard bumps, but they won't be open. Mac is usually closed right after such a thaw-freeze episode. Last year I did hit the bumps on Lower Mac the day they reopened after such an event, and while I have no problem with hard bumps, these were dust on glare ice and you really couldn't ski them with any enjoyment. Anyway, a weekend on less than ideal conditions is better than not getting out at all, so maybe it will be a go. I'll keep you posted...........

[tjf67]

Props to JC on your meteorological prowess. I shall now humbly defer to you for all my weather forecasting needs. Unless the forecast changes, Friday is looking to be 40 and rain, upwards of that half inch, with some back end snow showers. If only it would stay warm, the weekend might be really nice spring conditions. Alas, temps down around 10 Friday night should leave the hill just a wee bit firm over the weekend as it stays below freezing both Sat and Sun. Wonder if there is any chance of more snow included in the mix at elevation, perhaps giving the top half of the mountain better conditions? Wishfull thinking.........

It may be time to re-think and save the money we'd spend to go this weekend for another spring weekend that might bring more enjoyable conditions. Unfortunately, we don't have that many weekends in March open. We'll see. The kids would most likely be fine with ski school and sticking to the groomers....just not the kind of conditions I was hoping to enjoy.

Mattchuck2......if it is a go for us this weekend I'll let you guys know and it would be great to ski with you. I have no problem with your preferred terrain and mode of skiing. I've had my days where Empire is my warmup run (when the conditions are right you have to get at it before anyone else ). I suspect if things get warm, wet and refrozen there will be very hard bumps, but they won't be open. Mac is usually closed right after such a thaw-freeze episode. Last year I did hit the bumps on Lower Mac the day they reopened after such an event, and while I have no problem with hard bumps, these were dust on glare ice and you really couldn't ski them with any enjoyment. Anyway, a weekend on less than ideal conditions is better than not getting out at all, so maybe it will be a go. I'll keep you posted...........

Skiids were you at MRG yesterday?

[SKIdds]

Unfortunately, no.