Saturday Storm (January 14)?

[freeheelwilly]

I think there's potential for something quite big. Might start as NCP but turn to snow fairly early on and go quite hard throughout the day Saturday.

[tjf67]

Get Sandy out there in his too-too we need the help.

[highpeaksdrifter]

I hope so too Willy. Is this wishful thinking on your part or have you heard some science on it?

[freeheelwilly]

I read it here. Specifically, the long term.

Also, check the NWS forecast for Wilmington here

[freeheelwilly]

This thing is getting interesting. Again, read the long term. Too early to tell but one to watch.

[Phineas]

This thing is getting interesting. Again, read the long term. Too early to tell but one to watch.

how does ME and NH gettting 6 or greater do anyhting for us???? grasping at straws man, graspings at straws

[freeheelwilly]

Read carefully. The models are in disagreement but the ECMWF is the more consistent. Which is good because: "SUGGESTING THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT SNOWSTORM SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY BY THE ECMWF." Only the GPS forecast is for a bigger hit in NH and ME: "THIS SOLUTION WOULD SUGGEST NORTHERN NH AND ME WOULD HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL."

But immediately after that, the forecast says: "GIVEN THE ABOVE MODEL ANALYSIS AND LATEST ENSEMBLE DATA I WL TREND TOWARD THE MORE CONSISTENT ECMWF."

Then it closes with: "THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL OF GREATER THAN 6 OR MORE INCHES WL BE FROM THE CPV AND POINTS EASTWARD. HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO ISSUE SPS ATTM." (Emphasis added)

We're more than 96 hours out and this thing's giving 'em fits. It's one to watch - we might get hammered. NWS forecast for Wilmington is 80% for snow on Saturday. Whether that's a dusting or a foot is up in the air.

[Son of Drifter]

Read carefully. The models are in disagreement but the ECMWF is the more consistent. Which is good because: "SUGGESTING THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT SNOWSTORM SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY BY THE ECMWF." Only the GPS forecast is for a bigger hit in NH and ME: "THIS SOLUTION WOULD SUGGEST NORTHERN NH AND ME WOULD HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL."

But immediately after that, the forecast says: "GIVEN THE ABOVE MODEL ANALYSIS AND LATEST ENSEMBLE DATA I WL TREND TOWARD THE MORE CONSISTENT ECMWF."

Then it closes with: "THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL OF GREATER THAN 6 OR MORE INCHES WL BE FROM THE CPV AND POINTS EASTWARD. HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO ISSUE SPS ATTM." (Emphasis added)

We're more than 96 hours out and this thing's giving 'em fits. It's one to watch - we might get hammered. NWS forecast for Wilmington is 80% for snow on Saturday. Whether that's a dusting or a foot is up in the air.

Your glass is always half full Willy. You the man. Let's all do the snow dance.

[tjf67]

I am getting a feeling that it going to be a decent shot of snow. Was watching the weather models(which there guess is as good as ours at this point) and I think Whiteface is going to get wacked.